Probability
From a lot of 12 items containing 3 defectives, a sample of 5 items is drawn at random. Let the random variable $X$ denote the number of defective items in the sample. Let items in the sample be drawn one by one without replacement. If variance of $X$ is $\frac{m}{n}$, where $\operatorname{gcd}(m, n)=1$, then $n-m$ is equal to _________.
Explanation:
Given a lot of 12 items, 3 are defective.
Good items, $12-3=9$
Let $X$ denote the number of defective items.
So, value of $X=0,1,2,3$
A sample of $S$ items is drawn.
$P(X=0)=G G G G G$
(here $G$ is good item and $d$ is defective)
$\begin{aligned} & \frac{9}{12} \cdot \frac{8}{11} \cdot \frac{7}{10} \cdot \frac{6}{9} \cdot \frac{5}{8}=\frac{21}{132}=\frac{7}{44} \\ & P(X=1)=5\left[\frac{9 \cdot 8 \cdot 7 \cdot 6 \cdot 3}{12 \cdot 11 \cdot 10 \cdot 9 \cdot 8}\right]=\frac{21}{44} \\ & P(X=2)=5\left[\frac{9 \cdot 8 \cdot 7 \cdot 3 \cdot 2}{12 \cdot 11 \cdot 10 \cdot 9 \cdot 8}\right]=\frac{14}{44} \\ & P(X=3)=5\left[\frac{3 \cdot 2 \cdot 1 \cdot 9 \cdot 8}{12 \cdot 11 \cdot 10 \cdot 9 \cdot 8}\right]=\frac{2}{44} \\ & P(X=4)=0 \\ & P(X=5)=0 \end{aligned}$
| $X$ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $P(X)$ | $ \frac{7}{44} $ |
$ \frac{21}{44} $ |
$ \frac{14}{44} $ |
$ \frac{2}{44} $ |
0 | 0 |
| $XP(X)$ | 0 | $ \frac{21}{44} $ |
$ \frac{28}{44} $ |
$ \frac{6}{44} $ |
0 | 0 |
| $X^2P(X)$ | 0 | $ \frac{21}{44} $ |
$ \frac{56}{44} $ |
$ \frac{18}{44} $ |
0 | 0 |
$\begin{aligned} & \sigma_x^2=\sum X^2 P(x)-\left(\sum x P(x)\right)^2 \\ & =\frac{95}{44}-\left(\frac{55}{44}\right)^2 \\ & =\frac{4180-3025}{1936}=\frac{1155}{1936}=\frac{105}{176}=\frac{m}{n} \\ & =n-m=71 \end{aligned}$
From a lot of 10 items, which include 3 defective items, a sample of 5 items is drawn at random. Let the random variable $X$ denote the number of defective items in the sample. If the variance of $X$ is $\sigma^2$, then $96 \sigma^2$ is equal to __________.
Explanation:
| $x$ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $P(x)$ | $ \frac{{ }^7 C_5}{{ }^{10} C_5}=\frac{1}{12} $ |
$ \frac{C_4 \cdot{ }^3 C_1}{{ }^{10} C_5}=\frac{5}{12} $ |
$ \frac{{ }^7 C_3 \cdot{ }^3 C_2}{{ }^{10} C_5}=\frac{5}{12} $ |
$ \frac{{ }^7 C_2 \cdot{ }^3 C_3}{{ }^{10} C_5}=\frac{1}{12} $ |
| $xP(x)$ | 0 | $\frac{5}{12}$ | $\frac{10}{12}$ | $\frac{3}{12}$ |
$\begin{aligned} & \mu=\sum x P(x)=0+\frac{5}{12}+\frac{10}{12}+\frac{3}{12}=\frac{3}{2} \\ & \sigma^2=\sum(x-\mu) P(x)=\sum\left(x-\frac{3}{2}\right)^2 P(x) \\ & =\frac{9}{4} \times \frac{1}{12}+\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{5}{12}+\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{5}{12}+\frac{9}{4} \times \frac{1}{12}=\frac{7}{12} \end{aligned}$
$\Rightarrow \sigma^2 \cdot 96=8 \times 7=56$
In a tournament, a team plays 10 matches with probabilities of winning and losing each match as $\frac{1}{3}$ and $\frac{2}{3}$ respectively. Let $x$ be the number of matches that the team wins, and $y$ be the number of matches that team loses. If the probability $\mathrm{P}(|x-y| \leq 2)$ is $p$, then $3^9 p$ equals _________.
Explanation:
$\begin{aligned} & x+y=10 \\ & A=x-y \\ & P(|A|<2) \text { is } P \\ & \Rightarrow|A|=2,1,0 \Rightarrow A=0,1,-1,2,-2 \\ & \Rightarrow x=\frac{10+A}{2} \Rightarrow A \in \text { even as } x \in \text { integer } \\ & \Rightarrow A=0,-2,2 \\ & \Rightarrow P(|A| \leq 2)=P(A=0)+P(A=-2)+P(A=2) \end{aligned}$
(1) $A=0 \Rightarrow x=5=y$
$P(A=0)={ }^{10} C_5\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^5\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^5$
(2) $A=-2$
$\Rightarrow x=4$ and $y=6$
$P(A=-2)={ }^{10} C_4 \cdot\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^4\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^6$ and
$\begin{aligned} & \text { Similarly, } P(A=2)={ }^{10} C_6\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^6\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^4 \\ & \Rightarrow P(|A| \leq 2) 3^9=3\left({ }^{10} C_5 \cdot 2^5+{ }^{10} C_4 \cdot 2^6+{ }^{10} C_6 \cdot 2^4\right) \\ & =8288 \end{aligned}$
A group of 40 students appeared in an examination of 3 subjects - Mathematics, Physics and Chemistry. It was found that all students passed in atleast one of the subjects, 20 students passed in Mathematics, 25 students passed in Physics, 16 students passed in Chemistry, atmost 11 students passed in both Mathematics and Physics, atmost 15 students passed in both Physics and Chemistry, atmost 15 students passed in both Mathematics and Chemistry. The maximum number of students passed in all the three subjects is _________.
Explanation:
$ \begin{aligned} & n(C \cup P \cup M) \leq n(U)=40 . \\\\ & n(C)+n(P)+n(M)-n(C \cap M)-n(P \cap M)-n(C \cap \\\\ & P)+n(C \cap P \cap M) \leq 40 \\\\ & 20+25+16-11-15-15+x \leq 40 \\\\ & x \leq 20 \end{aligned} $
But $11-x \geq 0$ and $15-x \geq 0$
$ \Rightarrow x \geq 11 $
$a=P(X=3), b=P(X \geqslant 3)$ and $c=P(X \geqslant 6 \mid X>3)$. Then $\frac{b+c}{a}$ is equal to __________.
Explanation:
To solve this problem, we need to compute the probabilities $a$, $b$, and $c$, and then plug those values into the expression $\frac{b+c}{a}$.
Let's begin by defining each of the variables:
- $a = P(X=3)$: This is the probability that the first six appears on the third toss.
- $b = P(X \geqslant 3)$: This is the probability that the first six appears on the third toss or later.
- $c = P(X \geqslant 6 \mid X>3)$: This is the probability that the first six appears on the sixth toss or later, given that it has not appeared in the first three tosses.
Since we're dealing with a fair die, each side has an equal probability of $\frac{1}{6}$ of landing face up. Let's find the probabilities step by step:
Calculating $a$:
The probability of rolling anything other than a six is $\frac{5}{6}$. So for the first six to show up exactly on the third roll, the sequence of rolls must be NN6, where N is anything but a six (i.e., the results of the first two rolls). Thus,
$a = P(X=3) = \left(\frac{5}{6}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{5}{6}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)$
Calculating $b$:
For the first six to appear on the third roll or later, we can think of two cases: when the first six appears on the third roll (which we've already calculated, $a$), and when it appears after the third roll. To combine these probabilities, we can use the fact that $P(X \geqslant 3) = 1 - P(X < 3)$, where $P(X < 3)$ is the probability that the first six appears on either the first or the second roll. So we calculate the latter first:
$ P(X < 3) = P(X=1) + P(X=2) $
$ P(X < 3) = \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + \left(\frac{5}{6}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) $
Thus,
$ b = P(X \geqslant 3) = 1 - P(X < 3) = 1 - \left[ \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + \left(\frac{5}{6}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \right] $
Calculating $c$:
This is the probability that the first six appears on or after the sixth roll, given that it hasn't appeared in the first three rolls. Since $X>3$, the first three outcomes must not be a six, which occurs with probability $\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^3$. The subsequent outcomes until (and including) the fifth roll also must not be a six. So,
$c = P(X \geqslant 6 \mid X>3) = \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2$
Notice here, we did not include the probability of rolling a six, because we are looking for the probability that we have not yet rolled a six after the fifth roll.
Now we can calculate $a$, $b$, and $c$:
$a = \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6}$
$b = 1 - \left[ \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)\cdot\left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \right]$
$c = \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2$
Now we'll substitute to find $\frac{b+c}{a}$:
$\frac{b+c}{a} = \frac{1 - \left[ \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)\cdot\left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \right] + \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2}{\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6}}$
Simplifying the numerator:
$1 - \left[ \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)\cdot\left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \right] + \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2$
$= 1 - \left[\frac{1}{6} + \frac{5}{36}\right] + \frac{25}{36}$
$= 1 - \left[\frac{6}{36} + \frac{5}{36}\right] + \frac{25}{36}$
$= 1 - \frac{11}{36} + \frac{25}{36}$
$= \frac{36}{36} - \frac{11}{36} + \frac{25}{36}$
$= \frac{50}{36}$
Now, substitute this back into the expression and solve:
$\frac{b+c}{a} = \frac{\frac{50}{36}}{\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2 \cdot \frac{1}{6}}$
$\frac{b+c}{a} = \frac{50}{36} \cdot \frac{6}{\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2}$
$\frac{b+c}{a} = \frac{50 \cdot 6}{25}$
$\frac{b+c}{a} = \frac{300}{25}$
$\frac{b+c}{a} = 12$
Therefore, $\frac{b+c}{a} = 12$.
A student appears for a quiz consisting of only true-false type questions and answers all the questions. The student knows the answers of some questions and guesses the answers for the remaining questions. Whenever the student knows the answer of a question, he gives the correct answer. Assume that the probability of the student giving the correct answer for a question, given that he has guessed it, is $\frac{1}{2}$. Also assume that the probability of the answer for a question being guessed, given that the student's answer is correct, is $\frac{1}{6}$. Then the probability that the student knows the answer of a randomly chosen question is :
Explanation:
3 White
6 Green
$(\mathrm{N}-9)$ Blue
$\begin{aligned} & \text { Given } P\left(W_1 \cap G_2 \cap B_3\right)=\frac{2}{5 N} \\ & \text { and } P\left(B_3 \mid W_1 \cap G_2\right)=\frac{2}{9} \\ & \Rightarrow \frac{P\left(B_3 \cap W_1 \cap G_2\right)}{P\left(W_1 \cap G_2\right)}=\frac{2}{9} \\ & \Rightarrow \frac{2}{5 N} \times \frac{N \times(N-1)}{3 \times 6}=\frac{2}{9} \\ & \Rightarrow N=11 \end{aligned}$
Let $X$ be a random variable, and let $P(X=x)$ denote the probability that $X$ takes the value $x$. Suppose that the points $(x, P(X=x)), x=0,1,2,3,4$, lie on a fixed straight line in the $x y$-plane, and $P(X=x)=0$ for all $x \in \mathbb{R}-\{0,1,2,3,4\}$. If the mean of $X$ is $\frac{5}{2}$, and the variance of $X$ is $\alpha$, then the value of $24 \alpha$ is _____________.
Explanation:
Let equation of line is $\mathrm{y=mx+c}$
| $\mathrm{x}$ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | $\mathrm{R-\{0,1,2,3,4\}}$ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $\mathrm{P(x)}$ | $\mathrm{c}$ | $\mathrm{m+c}$ | $\mathrm{2m+c}$ | $\mathrm{3m+c}$ | $\mathrm{4m+c}$ | 0 |
$\sum_{x=0}^4(m x+c)=1 \Rightarrow 10 m+5 c=1 \Rightarrow 2 m+c=\frac{1}{5}\quad \text{.... (i)}$
$\begin{aligned} & \text { mean }=\sum x_i P_i=\sum_{i=0}^4\left(m x_i+c\right) \cdot x_i=30 m+10 c=\frac{5}{2} \\ & \therefore 3 m+c=\frac{1}{4} \ldots(2) \\ & \text { from (1) and (2) } \mathrm{m}=\frac{1}{20}, \mathrm{c}=\frac{1}{10} \\ & \Sigma \mathrm{P}_{\mathrm{i}} \mathrm{x}_{\mathrm{i}}^2=\sum_{\mathrm{i}=0}^4\left(\mathrm{mx}_{\mathrm{i}}+\mathrm{c}\right) \mathrm{x}_1^2 \\ & =\sum_{\mathrm{i}=0}^4\left(\mathrm{mx}_{\mathrm{i}}^3+c \mathrm{x}_{\mathrm{i}}^2\right) \Rightarrow 100 \mathrm{~m}+30 \mathrm{c}(\text { Now putting } \mathrm{m} \text { and } \mathrm{c}) \\ & \Rightarrow \Sigma \mathrm{P}_{\mathrm{i}}^2=5+3=8 \\ & \text { Variance }=\Sigma \mathrm{P}_{\mathrm{i}} \mathrm{x}_{\mathrm{i}}^2-\left(\Sigma \mathrm{P}_{\mathrm{i}} \mathrm{x}_{\mathrm{i}}\right)^2=8-\left(\frac{5}{2}\right)^2=\frac{7}{4} \\ & \therefore 24 \alpha=42 \end{aligned}$
If a random variable $X$ has the following probability distribution, then its variance is
| X = x | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| P(X = x) | $3 K^2$ | K | $K^2$ | 2K |
| $X=x$ | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| $P(X=x)$ | $k$ | $2 k$ | $3 k^2$ | $k$ |
The probability that $A$ speaks truth is $75 \%$ and the probability that $B$ speaks truth is $80 \%$. The probability that they contradict each other when asked to speak on a fact is
If the probability distribution of a random variable $X$ is as follows, then $k$ is equal to
$ \begin{array}{c|l|l|l|l} \hline X=x & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\ \hline P(X=x) & 2 k & 4 k & 3 k & k \\ \hline \end{array} $
$E_1$ and $E_2$ are two independent events of a random experiment such that $P\left(E_1\right)=\frac{1}{2}$ and $P\left(E_1 \cup E_2\right)=\frac{2}{3}$. Then, match the items of List I with the items of List II.
$ \begin{array}{lll} \hline & \text { List I } & \text { List II } \\ \hline \text { (A) } & P\left(E_2\right) & \text { (i) }1/2 \\ \hline \text { (B) } & P\left(E_1 / E_2\right) & \text { (ii) } 5 / 6 \\ \hline \text { (C) } & P\left(E_2 / E_1\right) & \text { (iii) } 1 / 3 \\ \hline \text { (D) } & P\left(E_1 \cup E_2\right) & \text { (iv) } 1 / 6 \\ \hline & & \text { (v) } 2 / 3 \\ \hline \end{array} $
The correct match isA bag contains 4 red and 5 black balls. Another bag contains 3 red and 6 black balls. If one ball is drawn from first bag and two balls from the second bag at random. The probability that out of the three, two are black and one is red, is
If a random variable $X$ has the following probability distribution, then its variance is nearly
$ \begin{array}{clllllll} \hline X=x & -3 & -2 & -1 & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 \\ \hline P(X=x) & 0.05 & 0.1 & 2 K & 0 & 0.3 & K & 0.1 \\ \hline \end{array} $
Three numbers are chosen at random from 1 to 20 , then the probability that the sum of three numbers is divisible by 3 is
8 teachers and 4 students are sitting around a circular table at random, then the probability that no two students sit together is
A bag contains 6 balls. If three balls are drawn at a time and all of them are found to be green, then the probability that exactly 5 of the balls in the bag are green is
In a binomial distribution the difference between the mean and standard deviation is 3 and the difference between their squares is 21 , then $P(x=1): P(x=2)=$
When an unfair dice is thrown the probability of getting a number $k$ on it is $P(X=k)=k^2 P$, where $k=1,2,3,4,5,6$ and $X$ is the random variable denoting a number on the dice, then the mean of X is